000			03367cam a2200349 i 4500
001			001945
003			MIUC
005			20220217151809.0
008			220217s2010 enka b 001 0 eng
020			_a9780199737277 _q(pbk)
020			_a0199737274 _q(pbk)
040			_aUKM _cUKM _dCDX _dBTCTA _dYDXCP _dDLC _beng _erda
082	0	4	_a332.6 _222
100	1		_aBremmer, Ian, _d1969- _95554 _eauthor
245	1	4	_aThe fat tail : _bthe power of political knowledge in an uncertain world / _cIan Bremmer and Preston Keat.
264		1	_aOxford ; _aNew York : _bOxford University Press, _c2010.
300			_axv, 254 pages ; _c24 cm.
336			_2rdacontent _atext
337			_2rdamedia _aunmediated
338			_2rdacarrier _avolume
500			_aOn cover: "With a new preface"
500			_aPublished in hardback edition in 2009 as: The fat tail : the power of political knowledge for strategic investing.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505	0	0	_a1. Introduction -- 2. Dealing with Uncertainty -- 3. Geopolitics -- 4. Political Risk and Capital Markets -- 5. Domestics Instability–Revolution -- 6. Terrorism -- 7. Expropriation -- 8. Regulatory Risk -- 9. Reporting and Warning.
520			_aAs Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat reveal in this innovative book, volatile political events such as the 2008 Georgia-Russia confrontation—and their catastrophic effects on business—happen much more frequently than investors imagine. On the curve that charts both the frequency of these events and the power of their impact, the "tail" of extreme political instability is not reassuringly thin but dangerously fat. Featuring a new Foreword that accounts for the cataclysmic effects of the 2008 financial crisis, The Fat Tail is the first book to both identify the wide range of political risks that global firms face and show investors how to effectively manage them. Written by two of the world's leading figures in political risk management, it reveals that while the world remains exceedingly risky for businesses, it is by no means incomprehensible. Political risk is unpredictable, but it is easier to analyze and manage than most people think. Applying the lessons of world history, Bremmer and Keat survey a vast range of contemporary risky situations, from stable markets like the United States or Japan, where politically driven regulation can still dramatically effect business, to more precarious places like Iran, China, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, and Nigeria, where private property is less secure and energy politics sparks constant volatility. The book sheds light on a wide array of political risks—risks that stem from great power rivalries, terrorist groups, government takeover of private property, weak leaders and internal strife, and even the "black swans" that defy prediction. But more importantly, the authors provide a wealth of unique methods, tools, and concepts to help corporations, money managers, and policy makers understand political risk, showing when and how political risk analysis works—and when it does not.
650		0	_aRisk management _xPolitical aspects _91868
650		0	_aInvestments _xPolitical aspects _91886
650		0	_aCountry risk _xManagement _92830
650		0	_aPolitical stability _xEvaluation _92913
700	1		_aKeat, Preston _95553 _eauthor
942			_2ddc _cBK